- Gold, Silver, Wine Trading



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Name Last Symbol Expire Date Bid Ask  
American Eagle Gold Coin (1 oz.) American Eagle Gold Coin (1 oz.) $1,136.78  GOLD1ozAE-2012/12/31 12/31/14 $1,136.78 $1,319.07 Buy Sell
Canadian Maple Gold Coin (1 oz.) Canadian Maple Gold Coin (1 oz.) $1,136.78  GOLD1ozCM-2012/12/31 12/31/14 $1,136.78 $1,318.87 Buy Sell
American Eagle Silver Coin (1 oz.) American Eagle Silver Coin (1 oz.) $34.08  SILVER1ozAE-2012/12/31 12/31/14 $15.66 $20.93 Buy Sell
Canadian Maple Silver Coin (1 oz.) Canadian Maple Silver Coin (1 oz.) $35.66  SILVER1ozCM-2012/12/31 12/31/14 $15.66 $20.43 Buy Sell
US90% Silver Coins $100 Face (pre1965) (71.5 oz.) US90% Silver Coins $100 Face (pre1965) (71.5 oz.) $1,060.35  SILVER90PC100F-2012/12/31 12/31/14 $1,060.35 $1,311.31 Buy Sell
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  Precious Metals Bear Market Update Tiho Brkan 2014-11-27 01:48:42.0
  HUI, GDX, XAU & GDXJ Continue Advancing! Lorimer Wilson 2014-11-27 00:58:00.0
The HUI declined each and every week from mid-August until the end of October but has closed UP for the past 3 weeks.
  How to Setup a Moveable Electric Poultry Fence martenson 2014-11-26 23:31:15.0
  Dramatic Increase in Gold Flows into China David Morgan 2014-11-26 23:05:01.0
 Dramatic Increase in Gold Flows into Chinaby David H.
  Fake Money, A ?Strong? Dollar, And Gold Investing Gold Silver Worlds 2014-11-26 22:53:40.0
This article is based on John Hathaway's latest quarterly market letter.
  Why You Should Be Prepared for Both Inflation and Deflation James Rickards 2014-11-26 20:22:27.0
This post
  The Real Black Friday: When Oil Prices Begin to Climb Byron King 2014-11-26 18:53:55.0
This post
  Daily Digest 11/26 - Brazil Edges Towards Epic Water Crisis, Russian Economy Faces Recession martenson 2014-11-26 17:00:46.0
  3 Travel Secrets that Will Make Any Trip More Pleasant Chris Campbell 2014-11-26 16:35:24.0
This post
  How Retail Investors Could Double Your Money In 14 Months Greg Guenthner 2014-11-26 15:51:10.0
This post
  HUI, GDX, XAU & GDXJ Continue Advancing! Lorimer Wilson 2014-11-26 15:49:59.0
The HUI declined each and every week from mid-August until the end of October but has closed UP for the past 3 weeks.
  The concept of Inflation & Deflation is frequently misunderstood MarcFaberBlog 2014-11-26 14:48:00.0
TRISH REGAN: Bond investor Bill Gross is saying deflation is a ?growing possibility? as governments worldwide struggle to create inflation and to stimulate growth.
  Peru crackdown on illegal gold leads to new smuggling routes Mitra Taj 2014-11-26 05:00:41.0
A crackdown on illegal gold mining in Peru has spawned new smuggling routes through its porous border with Bolivia with some gangs using human mules, armored cars and light aircraft to evade capture.
  Finally, a Reverse Split for JNUG Todd Shriber 2014-11-26 04:48:09.0
The notorious
  Gold Holds Near 3-Week High as Rates View Weighed With Stimulus Glenys Sim 2014-11-26 04:29:26.0
Gold traded near the highest level in three weeks as investors weighed increased stimulus around the world against the outlook for higher U.
  Top In S&P 500 Coming By End Of 2014 Lorimer Wilson 2014-11-26 03:18:39.0
Calling a top is difficult at best, and I'm much less interested in being right about a top
  See It Market Post 2014-11-25 23:52:11.0
Gold And Oil: Have The Charts Been Helpful?
  HUI, GDX, XAU & GDXJ Continue Advancing! Lorimer Wilson 2014-11-25 23:38:30.0
The HUI declined each and every week from mid-August until the end of October but has closed UP for the past 3 weeks.
  Gold Price Went Ballistic To $1,450 In Less Than 20 Minutes Gold Silver Worlds 2014-11-25 23:33:27.0
A glitch, a game or both? It is unclear what exactly happened, but the price of gold surged from $1,200 to $1,450 in just ten minutes, at least at some charts (not all).
  Silver's Bullish Fundamentals Driven By Solar Energy Gold Silver Worlds 2014-11-25 23:33:27.0
Since 1999, photography has increasingly gone digital, and as a result, silver demand in the film industry has contracted about 70 percent.
  Tesco starts price war by slashing price of award winning Champagne Wed, 26 Nov 2014 11:29:28 -0800
Consumers are abandoning cheaper sparkling wines such as Cava and Prosecco after supermarkets slashed the price of award-winning champagne brands for Christmas.
  Commodities Guru Sees Bullish Markets Ahead Wed, 26 Nov 2014 10:34:58 -0800
Commodities Guru Sees Bullish Markets Ahead
  Happy Hours and other happenings 11/27-12/3 Wed, 26 Nov 2014 10:30:06 -0800
FRIDAY Aqua Reef: $5 Hamami cocktail; Half priced Dim Sum Lovin' (2-5 p.m.) Azul Ultra Lounge: $4 wine, well drink, craft draft and happy hour bar (4-6:30 p.
  Gold 'price' spikes due to possible computer glitch Wed, 26 Nov 2014 09:51:54 -0800
Gold spiked higher in many price feeds overnight and was $270 higher or more than 22% higher to $1,467.50/oz at one stage in what appears to have been some form of computer glitch.
  Gold price eyed ahead of Swiss vote Wed, 26 Nov 2014 09:18:58 -0800
Gold prices slipped on Wednesday from this week's highs, as the market awaited a Swiss referendum on central bank gold reserves.
  Gold price eyed as investors await Swiss vote Wed, 26 Nov 2014 09:06:35 -0800
Gold prices slipped on Wednesday from this week's highs, as the market awaited a Swiss referendum on central bank gold reserves.
  Gold & Silver Market Morning: Nov-26-2014 Wed, 26 Nov 2014 06:03:40 -0800
Gold Today ? The gold price closed up at $1,200 in New York on Tuesday. London took it down to $1,196 just ahead of the Fix. At that time it was trading in the euro at ?960.41 down ?6.53, while the euro stood slightly stronger at $1.2450.
  Gold ?Price? Spikes to $1,467.50/oz on Computer Glitch? Wed, 26 Nov 2014 06:03:22 -0800
Gold spiked higher in many price feeds overnight and was $270 higher or more than 22% higher to $1,467.50/oz at one stage in what appears to have been some form of computer glitch.
  Goldman, BASF, HSBC accused of metals price fixing - U.S. lawsuit Wed, 26 Nov 2014 02:14:51 -0800
By Jonathan Stempel NEW YORK (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N), Germany's BASF SE (BASFn.DE) and two other big platinum and palladium dealers have been sued in the United States in what the plaintiff's ...
  The Bittersweet Tale of Sauternes Wed, 26 Nov 2014 00:00:00 -0500
Rarity, price and changing tastes mean a Bordeaux classic isn’t as loved as it should be.
  Update on Metallurgical Testwork at Mpokoto Gold Project Tue, 25 Nov 2014 23:00:00 -0800
LONDON--(BUSINESSWIRE)-- Armadale Capital Plc / Index: AIM / Epic: ACP / Sector: Investment Company 26 November 2014 Armadale Capital Plc (? Armadale? or ?the Company ?) Update on Metallurgical Testwork ...
  Sonic Decanter: An (ultra)sound way to improve wine quality Tue, 25 Nov 2014 21:19:13 -0800
That bargain plonk ordinaire that passes as merely drinkable may soon get featured status at your next party. A startup out of Spokane, Washington, has unveiled its Sonic Decanter designed to improve the flavor, mouthfeel and aroma of wine in 20 minutes or less by using high frequency sound waves to break down preservatives, such as sulfur dioxide, transform the molecular and chemical structure ...
  Gold eases from $1,200 as equities climb on U.S. economic data Tue, 25 Nov 2014 20:47:17 -0800
By A. Ananthalakshmi SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Gold dipped from $1,200 an ounce on Wednesday as equities rose on optimism over the U.S. economy, while traders nervously awaited cues from the dollar and a Swiss ...
  Five Golds for Yealands Wine Group at Air NZ Awards Tue, 25 Nov 2014 19:43:05 -0800
Yealands Wine Group have been highly awarded at the annual Air New Zealand Wine Awards, claiming a total of five Pure Gold medals and nine Pure Silver medals.
  Silver meets with Milwaukee officials about arena Tue, 25 Nov 2014 18:33:36 -0800
MILWAUKEE (AP) -- NBA Commissioner Adam Silver met with Milwaukee officials and local business leaders on Tuesday about a new arena for the Bucks.
  Silver Bay Realty Trust Corp. Increases Its Share Repurchase Program Tue, 25 Nov 2014 13:02:00 -0800
Silver Bay Realty Trust Corp. , today announced that its Board of Directors has authorized the company to increase the size of its previously authorized share repurchase program by an additional 2,500,000 shares.
  How to use the Commitment of Traders Report? Wed, 19 Jun 2013 18:08:00 GMT
The Commitment of Traders report (COT report) is a weekly report, which is issued on every Friday by Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This report contains the details of the positions of all the market participants. Every report that comes on Friday contains the data as of the preceding Tuesday.

The role of CFTC is to Commodities Future & Options market what SEC is to equity markets. The COT is a very handy, reliable and important report as it has good deal of data related to the market positions and trends of various trader groups. It is very useful in understanding the current and future market movements.

The structure of the COT report is detailed and it provides data segregated into different trader groups. The three main categories being: commercial traders, non-commercial traders and non-reportables.

Commercial Traders: They are the main players of the Commodity future markets. They are essentially hedgers and their trades are for actual delivery of the underlying asset. They have the largest positions in the markets and are big entities like Producers and users/consumers. They have the best knowledge of demand, supply & market movements etc. and enter into contracts as per their requirements and forecasts.

Non-commercial traders: They are also generally big traders but unlike the commercial traders, their positions are mostly for speculative profits. They enter a position with a view to make money and exit the position long before the due dates.

Non-reportables: This is the smallest group of traders and consists of individuals or other small entities that trade on speculative lines. Their holdings are individually too small to be required to report to CFTC and hence the name.

Over the years, CFTC has been providing the report with the aforesaid three categories of traders. But in the recent years, it has started providing disaggregated reports, further categorizing the traders. The picture below illustrates the disaggregated trader categories.

In the above classification, Swap dealers represent the Pension funds, endowments etc. These funds rather than directly trading in the future markets, work through the services of Swap dealers.

Basics of COT report

The COT report is a very valuable source of information, which can be used to get an idea of the future market movements and accordingly device a trading strategy. Let's take a sample COT report of Gold Futures dated 11th June and try to understand the basic data sets and their implications.

A gold future contract is of 100 Troy ounces and the above report is a part of the COT report on metals issued by CFTC on 14th of June, 2013. The report shows the category wise positions as on June 11th. In each category, the long and short positions represent the number of contracts held. The total open interest shows the sum of all contracts (both long & short), that have neither expired nor settled. From the above data, we can get the following perspectives about the current market conditions.

The total open interest is 373,844, which is marginally up by 783 from the previous week. This indicates a bit higher market participation. The benefit of an increased open interest is that a higher number of transactions take place increasing the liquidity. At the same time it also indicates better market conditions for trading and may be a sign of trend reversal.

The net position of Producers/Merchants category is still on the bearish side but compared to last week it shows increase of 3,251 in long contracts. Remember that this group has the best knowledge of the markets and they are bearish with slight movements towards bullish side of the fence. This movement towards long position may be short term or long term. Now if we look at the data of past few weeks, we will observe that there is a gradual increase in the long position of this group. The total extent of their short positions has been decreasing over the time. This may indicate a positive outlook for gold in the future.

The swap dealers reflect the same approach as far as the net position is considered.

Managed Money traders have a contrarian position. This may be due to the longer time frame that they generally target, eliminating the reflection of short-term market sentiments in their position.

Other reportable and the non-reportables are generally market followers. They are mostly in a position opposite to that of commercials. One thing that you should always avoid is to follow the trend of non-reportables.

The current COT report can further be compared to the past data and more inferences can be deduced. For example, if you compare the open interest with past data, you would see that it has been falling and has dropped quite low. Also this drop has somewhat stabilized over the past few weeks and it seems to be bottoming up. This indicates that a strong level of support for the gold prices may have been achieved and there are pretty good chances of a trend reversal.

Some takeaways

Now since you have some understanding of how to use COT report, you must keep the following points in mind while using it.

COT report comes with a time delay of 3 days. This is a dampening factor to the uses of the report in framing intraday and very short-term trade strategies.

The data content is excellent and reliable. This makes it a great source of getting market insights.

Further derivations of the COT report in the form index creation or indicators etc can further add to its utility.

Use other tools in combination with COT insights to validate your analysis.

COT report as such is of great value. No wonders why CFTC has to give in to the demands of weekly reports from the market participants, rather than the bi-monthly report that it used to provide in the past. That's all as of now. Happy trading!!!


  Gold and Silver Speculator Long Positions Wiped Out Fri, 26 Apr 2013 21:17:00 GMT
Small speculators, also known as individual investors, have had their net long positions in gold and silver completely wiped out over the last two weeks. As of last Tuesday, these small investors held a mere 133 net long gold contracts, and 2163 net long silver contracts. As recently as September, when we turned cautious on the metals, small speculators held over 60,000 net long gold contracts and 20,000 silver contracts. If the small speculators were to sell anymore gold and silver, they would become net short.

Typically commercial banks manipulate prices on low volume to set the price and then trade at the newly set price in volume. The recent crash in gold and silver began after hours on a Friday, and was hit further by large sell orders Sunday night to take out the well known technical support lines of both metals. Most small retails investors were probably not even contacted by their futures broker. By the time they checked their account the next Monday Morning, either their protective stop orders were triggered or the margin clerk forcefully closed their position. The snowball effect in margin calls and stop loss orders was great enough to last several days.

None of this is surprising. However, we were quite surprised to see that net short positions of commercial traders rose substantially during this period. Typically they would be expected to cover their short positions at lower prices, mopping up the losses of retail investors.

This reveals several important changes to the gold and silver markets:
1) It took an enormous number of short positions added to move the market even on a weekend.
2) The gambit failed, as they were not able to cover these positions in volume after the dump. Nevertheless, as we have been expecting for several years, the commercial traders will be net long before the metals make new highs. But if they can't cover at lower prices, they will begin covering at higher prices as we saw when silver rose from $20 fall 2010 to $50 in spring 2011.

We suspect that the failure of the gold gambit is largely due to the unexpected surge in GLOBAL demand for physical metal. Premiums on bullion products are higher than they were during the 2008 crash, with even junk silver selling at $5-$6 over the paper spot price. This is unprecedented.

The consolidation in gold and silver over the last two years has been painful, especially for mining investors. However, with the prices of the metals at or below production costs, along with shortages of retail bullion products, and zero net long small investors, we are struggling to identify any more sellers. The summer season is typically weak for precious metals, and they could easily back and fill a base over the next six months, however the risk in accumulating physical metals in this price range is very low. We also believe that producing miners with cash holdings represent substantial value at this time.
  Caution Advised in Gold and Silver Sun, 02 Sep 2012 02:35:00 GMT
Gold and especially silver have succumbed to a long a demoralizing correction over the last 12 to 18 months. The summer doldrums likely marked the bottom of this correction, and the metals have turn the corner higher. However, both gold and silver investors will likely have their resolve tested once again in the coming weeks before the metals are able to break higher.

Precious metals (GLD, SLV), and mining equities surged from their 2008 lows to their 2011 highs in reaction to massive monetary intervention, and an initial surge in inflationary expectations. Although interest rates have remained near zero, and real interest rates are clearly negative, precious metals investors have been disappointed by the ongoing global stagflationary wealth destruction, and the failure of further intervention by policy makers. The Federal Reserve has admitted that the US economy is weaker than desired, yet it has also continually disappointed in announcing a new quantitative easing as it seeks political justification.

The last two years of global policy makers kicking the can down the road, in conjunction with weaker demand from India, has created the environment for a severe correction in gold, silver, and miners. While it hasn't been the most severe in terms of percentage loss, it has likely been the most severe in terms of sentiment. With Europe, India, China, and the US all decelerating at a rapid pace, and the US fiscal cliff returning the political forefront, we believe that we are months away at the most from a turn in monetary policy. Verbal intervention has run its course, and real monetary intervention is a mathematical certainty.

Gold miners(GDX) bottomed in May, and are leading the metals. They are now overbought and could face a sharp correction before breaking out.

Gold and silver may already have begun pricing in future intervention, however commercial banks are not yet on board with the breakout in gold and silver. Net commercial short positions in both gold and silver, at a time when prices are near resistance levels and overbought are indicating that a short and severe correction could be imminent.

Silver has had an especially large spike in commercial short positions over the last three weeks.

The current commercial short positions in silver and gold must be reduced before the metals can break higher. In other words, commercial banks must cover the majority of their short positions. While they could cover as prices rise, history suggests that the most likely scenario is for the commercial banks to take down the price and cover at lower levels. This correction will likely coincide with the realization of a global recession/depression in 2013 and end with the realization of further monetary intervention.
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